The future of the engine as we know it
I normally run like crazy when someone asks me questions about a "new" 
engine, but when one of my directors asks me to evaluate a "new design" 
design, my knees shake.  That happened this morning.
We have seen
 free pistons, opposed oscillating pistons, scotch yoke pistons, 
toroidal blocks, ball valves, sliding sleeves, and tons of other 
combinations.  Strangely, or not so strangely, none of these has ever 
reached any significant success.  The old, inefficient Otto cycle engine
 still hangs around.  With the exception of sealing refinements and 
air-fuel metering, almost nothing has changed in 100+ years, not 
including OHC engines which is a refinement, or phased cams, also a 
refinement, or exhaust aftertreatments, which is not a refinement, but 
an attempt at fixing an engine inefficiency.
I wonder how long it
 will take before something else pops up and takes a reasonably strong 
stand against the tried and true engine design?
Lets look at the true IC engine replacement, not hybrids
 (although I feel that is where we are heading for the next 25 
years).  Turbines are nice but not practical for a number of reasons.  
When
 we look at H2 as a potential fuel, it still uses the Otto cycle engine 
as a base, only the fuel has changed.  Are we really gaining anything on
 the engineering side?  I recognize the significant advantage on 
emissions, but fuel transport, storage, and infrastructure have still to
 be perfected.
We are pulling at semantics classifying a turbine engine in the same 
category as the Otto cycle piston and valve engine.  As good as the 
turbine engine is, it really shines in constant load applications, far 
superior to the piston engine, but it cannot compare to the piston 
engine for throttle response and manufacturing costs, necessary for 
daily driving and private operation.  Toss in the efficiency of the 
turbine compared to the versatility of the piston engine and we have a 
real discussion.
The conventional piston and valve engine has 
made significant advancements over its century plus life, certainly 
nothing to sneeze at, but most of the major advancements have been made 
in the last 20 years when electronics took a major role in design and 
controls.  Recognizing the items "tbuelna" lists, these are still 
refinements of the original design, basically correcting and improving 
on a design that originates almost 150 years ago.
Where do we go 
from here?  In my lifetime, or at the end of it, I too will be taken to 
my grave in a hearse powered by an Otto cycle engine, most likely.
The
 fuel cell will increase in popularity, but there is going to be a point
 where increased production will not significantly lower the cost per 
kilowatt, and we will need more power to make a transference of 
dominance between the piston and fuel cell powerplant.
Surely there must be something in the interim.
Until recently, most advances I have seen in the industry have 
revolved about extracting energy from a liquid fuel, petroleum based for
 the most part.  The quality of the distillates have improved from years
 prior but I do not see any great breakthroughs occuring in petroleum 
distillate technology.  So engineering efforts will be guided at more 
effectively squeezing every ounce of energy from the petrol with as 
little heat wasted and as few emissions as possible.  With the Otto 
cycle at approximately 28% efficient, there is alot of room for 
improvement, but new materials or not, we are in the exponential portion
 of the curve where many R&D dollars spent here will not add a 
representative gain in efficiency.
So where next?  Why make it 
better at all?  The main push seems to be the fact that the petroleum 
resource if finite and/or the environment is affected by the byproducts 
of the human transportation process (heat, emmisions).  So we need to 
make a device that transports humans using an infinite, cheap fuel 
source with no measurable impact to the environment while allowing high 
speeds and quick acceleration.  Oh utopia!
As mentioned earlier, 
batteries are just not there yet.  Lead acid, the bulk of the automotive
 state to date, is far from cutting edge but reliable and readily 
available.  We can get lead and sulfuric acid rather easily.  But what 
to do when the meriad of batteries need refurbishment or 
replacement.  Petroleum based fuel consumption is down in the hybrid, 
but the storage of environmentally unfriendly used lead, acid and the 
plastic battery cases become the problem.  If a completely electrical 
car is the course, then the non nuclear power plants centralize the 
polution efforts instead of spreading them to the individual 
vehicles.  For an environmental system, the pollution is not appreciably
 less over time.
So that leaves alternatives such as fuel cells 
and solar power.  Fuel cells presently have more promise near term, but I
 predict that eventually solar cell technology will be the winner 
combined with fuel cells.  Solar during daylight hours and fuel cell at 
night.  Recycling will come into play with hybrids to slow the battery 
issue as better batteries are produced, but with all of these, the 
consumer will not be happy with a mode of transportation that achieves 
0-60 in 25+ seconds or a system with a maximum speed of 40 MPH.  Thus 
the main reasons the Otto cycle is still around .... vehicle provides 
the individual the ability to go where they want, when they want, 
quickly at a relatively low cost.  
I ask what are the 
alternatives if petrol were to disappear tomorrow?  That is the longterm
 (100+ years from now) we should be exploring now.
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